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This paper derives a new decomposition of stock returns using price extremes and proposes a conditional autoregressive shape (CARS) model with beta density to predict the direction of stock returns. The CARS model is continuously valued, which makes it different from binary classification...
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This paper studies whether sentiment is rewarded with a significant risk premium on the European stock markets. We … model in order to track the variation of the sentiment risk premium over time. The results demonstrate a positive … calculated sentiment risk premium is significant as well but of a negative sign implying that an investment in EA-11 countries …
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The failure to empirically prove uncovered interest rate parity conditions seems to be related to the presence of risk … business-cycle-related risks. Times of relatively large uninsured Euro-Area consumption growth risk are associated with an …
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