Showing 1 - 10 of 1,285
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513618
. Our main finding from a historical nowcasting simulation based on euro area GDP is that the predictive power of the survey …This paper investigates the trade-off between timeliness and quality in nowcasting practices. This trade-off arises … when the frequency of the variable to be nowcast, such as GDP, is quarterly, while that of the underlying panel data is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846875
We analyze the performance of a broad range of nowcasting and short-term forecasting models for a representative set of … indicators that come from a comparable set of identical data. We show that nowcasting works well for the new EU countries because …, although that variability in their GDP growth data is larger than that of the old EU economies, the economic significance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012172202
estimation accuracy. Modestly increasing the noise level also accelerates convergence. A nowcasting exercise of euro area GDP …-noise dynamic factor models, commonly used in macroeconomic forecasting and nowcasting. We show analytically and in Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249849
progressing as of 2012, in terms of civilian employment and GDP. Next we will investigate the stylized facts of the crisis and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993297
We provide a framework for monitoring the shadow banking system. The shadow banking system consists of a web of specialized financial institutions that conduct credit, maturity, and liquidity transformation without direct, explicit access to public backstops. The lack of such access to sources...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201287
We provide a framework for monitoring the shadow banking system. The shadow banking system consists of a web of specialized financial institutions that conduct credit, maturity, and liquidity transformation without direct, explicit access to public backstops. The lack of such access to sources...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075091
The paper provides a critical analysis of the indicators most widely used at international level to measure the size and risk of the securitization market and its contribution to shadow banking. The analysis outlines the reasons why measuring the size of the market on the basis of the total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943284
In this study, we analyze the effects of sovereign credit rating reviews on national stock market performances in GIIPS and BRIC countries during the European Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2009-2013. Through an event study, we test the Null Hypothesis that cumulative abnormal returns on national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060066