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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009312670
This paper evaluates the performance of machine learning methods in forecasting stock returns. Compared to a linear benchmark model, interactions and non-linear effects help improve predictive performance. But machine learning models must be adequately trained and tuned to overcome the high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829491
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255209
to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which allows us to … decompose the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that both expected dividend growth rates and risk premia exhibit … substantial variation over time, particularly for short maturities. In addition to predicting dividend growth, equity yields help …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120296
We study a new data set of dividend derivatives with maturities up to 10 years across three world regions: the US … yields to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which decomposes the … slope of the term structure of expected dividend growth rates is counter-cyclical. The comovement of yields across regions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092450
curve from market dividend futures, we aggregate equity yields of individual firms over the market. This approach allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244601
to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which allows us to … decompose the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that both expected dividend growth rates and risk premia exhibit … substantial variation over time, particularly for short maturities. In addition to predicting dividend growth, equity yields help …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461242
We construct a panel of global equity yields by modifying the model of Giglio et al. (2021) so it works internationally. We revisit stylized facts about equity yields, primarily based on US data, and provide several new results. On old facts, we study the dynamics of global equity yields, their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254722
We study a new data set of dividend derivatives with maturities up to 10 years across three world regions: the US … yields to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which decomposes the … slope of the term structure of expected dividend growth rates is counter-cyclical. The comovement of yields across regions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093918
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416960