In this paper we propose a relatively simple procedure to predict Euro-zone industrial production using mostly data derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy). The basic idea is that of estimating business...

Since September 2004, Insee has published the results of its business survey in the services sector on a monthly basis together with a synthetic indicator. This indicator is extracted from both monthly and quarterly balances of opinion derived from the survey. The methodological framework is...

Die Staatsschuldenkrise in der Europäischen Union hat wieder einmal deutlich gemacht, wie nötig Frühindikatoren sind, die rechtzeitig drohende Ungleichgewichte und Schwächen in einzelnen Volkswirtschaften anzeigen. Michael Heise stellt hier eine makroökonomische Scorecard - den Euro Monitor...