This paper demonstrates the welfare implications of the differential disintegration of the EU. Using a structural gravity approach, our estimates suggest that the rest of the EU countries have much more to lose from the disintegration of the EU compared to a disorderly Brexit. At the same time,...

The UK is struggling to maintain a powerful global position against a backdrop of the British public having a longstanding difficulty in appreciating the benefits of EU membership. The success of the ‘leave' EU campaign has created huge uncertainty over future ties with the EU. The...

This paper applies a non-parametric heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) estimator of error terms in the context of the spatial autoregressive model of GDP per capita convergence of European regions at NUTS 2 level. By introducing the spatial dimension, it looks how the...

Adopting a novel method of synthetic difference-in-differences (SDID), this paper examines the causal impact of the Brexit referendum on the services exports of the UK and other major services exporters. It provides a comparative analysis of, inter alia, Germany, Ireland, and the UK, and...

Adopting a novel method of synthetic difference in differences (SDID), this paper examines the causal impact of the Brexit referendum on services exports of the UK and other major services exporters. It provides a comparative analysis of the UK, Ireland and Germany, inter alia, and assesses the...

In this paper the authors develop an innovative 21 sector computable general equilibrium model of Armenia to assess the impact on Armenia of a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA) with the EU, as well as further regional or multilateral trade policy commitments. They find that a...

In this paper the authors develop an innovative 21 sector computable general equilibrium model of Armenia to assess the impact on Armenia of a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA) with the EU, as well as further regional or multilateral trade policy commitments. The authors find...