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Pairs trading strategy's return depends on the divergence/convergence movements of a selected pair of stocks' prices. However, if the stable long term relationship of the stocks changes, price will not converge and the trade opened after divergence will close with losses. We propose a new model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987096
pricing model with a green-minus-brown (GMB) factor as a proxy. I estimate the relationship between risk factors and excess …-of-fit when flexibly estimating the relationship between risk factors and excess returns. I confirm previous studies finding that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350807
During the recent financial crisis, numerous EU officials, market participants and the media suggested that irrational herding was a key factor for the financial turmoil and the soaring yield spreads. In this paper we test for evidence of herd behavior in European government bond prices and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000925
and book to market asset classes over troughs. The US small cap premium is related to default risk, although recessions … per se do not on average impact on this premium. Default risk and the inflation risk differential between Canada and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119888
-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors and corporate bond spreads. First, we apply Bayesian model averaging … to a battery of candidate variables for determining meaningful systematic risk factors. Second, Markov switching … market conditions, on the other. Our evidence for market indices of euro-denominated bonds suggests that systematic risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855295
This paper shows that during the 1990s the process of gradual economic and monetary integration, which eventually led to EMU, also resulted in a reduction in the equity cost of capital. A similar reduction was not present in the three EU countries which chose not to enter the Eurozone. There was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236927
This paper studies the profitability of a selection of prominent momentum-based strategies in the European Monetary Union. In contrast to past examples documenting the lack of profitability of unconditional price momentum in the most recent decade, the current research finds that unconditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028257
novel measure of eurozone exit risk. We find that while domestic bank stocks are not significantly affected by domestic exit … risk, there is a negative exposure to exit risk of other countries that is channeled through bilateral credit risk. For the … real sector, exposure to eurozone exit risk is heterogeneous among industries and is less negative for more indebted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664386
find that risk-shifting interacts with regulatory arbitrage motives to explain how banks adjust their portfolios after … yielding but zero risk-weight sovereign bonds. The increase in banking system risk might therefore be even larger than the … decline in risk-weighted solvency ratios suggests. Distress in the banking system also feeds back onto bond prices. Bonds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012161046
Die Berücksichtigung der zukünftigen Entwicklung des Wechselkurses ist sowohl für internationale Unternehmen als auch für international tätige Investoren unabdingbar. Allerdings ist die Erstellung von Wechsel- kursprognosen schwierig, da bis zum heutigen Zeitpunkt kein allgemein anerkanntes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498979