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An event study analysis is performed on consumer confidence around election times using an effective sample of 84 … incumbent party wins or loses. Consumer confidence is able to predict positively the probability of re-election of the incumbent …
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As one of the strongest determinants of the vote choice of United States citizens, party identification has been the object of extensive scholarly attention. Despite fifty years of research, its place in the funnel of causality and its applicability outside the United States remains unclear. In...
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narrow margins of victory in a Regression Discontinuity framework. The election of Lega Nord mayor discourages immigrants …
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Alongside a range of already well documented factors such as deindustrialization, technological progress and international trade, a series of recent empirical econometric studies show that immigration has contributed to the rise of extreme right-wing parties in Europe. Our study highlights,...
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Why do politicians rebel and vote against the party line when high stakes bills come to the floor of the legislature? We leverage the three so-called Meaningful Votes that took place in the British House of Commons between January and March 2019 on the Withdrawal Agreement that the Conservative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064455
My paper analyzes the link between immigration and support for anti-immigrant parties in Europe. I assemble a unique data set on the share of foreigners for 356 regions in 26 European countries and construct a novel scale for the anti-immigrant position of political parties. I find that...
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