In light of the recent discussion regarding the measurement of uncertainty and its impact on economic activity, this paper derives forward-looking measures of uncertainty and directional expectations for the CHF/EUR exchange rate based on over-the-counter option data and analyses its impact on...

Introducing the approach by Masanao Aoki (1981) to time series econometrics, we show that the dynamics of symmetric linear possibly cointegrated two-country VAR models can be separated into two autonomous subsystems: the country averages and country differences, where the latter includes the...

This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries in ation into country-specific (idiosyncratic) and region-wide (common) components. To do so, we propose a exible empirical framework based on dynamic factor models subject to drifting...

We analyze the impact of the ECB monetary policies on global aggregate and sectoral commodity prices using monthly data from January 2001 till August 2019. We employ a SVAR model and assess separately period of conventional monetary policy before global financial crisis (GFC) and unconventional...

In this study we examine the role of the Euro on currency co-movements and contagion considering six major currencies (i.e., EUR(DM), JPY, GBP, CHF, AUD, as well as, CAD) and their corresponding USD exchange rates. The period of study extends from January 2, 1975 to April 8, 2016. The selected...

The structural VAR models for European countries (France, Denmark, and Germany) are developed to examine the monetary policy reactions, especially the within-ERM exchange rate stabilization, during the ERM period. First, impulse responses of monetary instrument and the exchange rate to shocks...