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This paper examines the time-varying conditional correlations of daily European equity market returns during the Irish sovereign debt crisis. A dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model is used to estimate to what extent the collapse of Irish equity markets and subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471074
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion proposed by Pesaran and Pick (2007) and Metiu (2012) to allow for time-varying coefficients. This becomes necessary due to changes in the risk pricing of sovereign bonds since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
news shock, we can show that, during the crisis period, sovereign credit risk was not related to economic fundamentals but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979715
This paper analyses the dynamics of the credit default swap (CDS) market of PIIGS, France, Germany and the UK for the period of 2005–2010. The study is performed on the basis of the Datastream and DTCC data on CDS spreads and the BIS data on cross-border exposures.The analysis of the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965163
This paper proposes a new mutual exciting regime-switching model where crises can spread contagiously across countries. Each country has its own hidden stochastic process that determines whether it is in a normal or crisis regime. The mutual-excitation component allows interactions in the Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491593
downward spiral after an unexpected arrival of a financial market illiquidity shock. In order to uncover this transmission …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949651
Since the onset of the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, credit risk spreads in Europe have diverged. Despite this divergence, credit risk comoves strongly within certain country groups such as the eurozone periphery. We seek to answer what the determinants of the observed pattern of credit risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486057
This study establishes time-frequency networks of sovereign and bank contagion in the eurozone over the period 2009-2021. By applying discrete wavelet transformation, daily CDS premia of sovereigns and banks are decomposed into multi-horizon components to specify directed and dependence-weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292566
This paper sets the background for the Special Issue of the Journal of Empirical Finance on the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. It identifies the channel through which risks in the financial industry leaked into the public sector. It discusses the role of the bank rescues in igniting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011588156
We use days with tail sovereign CDS spread changes of peripheral countries to identify the effects of shocks to the cost of borrowing of these countries on stock returns of banks from other countries. We find that tail sovereign GIIPS CDS changes have an asymmetric impact in that bank stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963385