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The analysis of business cycle synchronization levels has become a key point in the discussion of the processes of international economic integration. Economists show a particular interest in analyzing the frequency of processes of business cycle convergence and divergence (decoupling) in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228503
of the Covid-19 pandemic in early 2020, the results pointed towards large spillovers from the shutdown in China to … related to the shift of preferences towards goods with a large China valued-added content played a relevant role …. Interestingly, the impact of Chinese supply chain shocks is not limited to manufacturing sectors that are highly exposed to China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459723
In this paper we analyze European business cycles before and under EMU. Across the two periods we find 1) a significant decline in real exchange rate volatility, 2) significant changes in cross-country correlations, and 3) the volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals largely unchanged. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850663
This paper examines the degree of trade integration and business cycle synchronisation between eight Balkan countries and the Euro area over the period 2000:1-2011:4. The main findings are that Slovenia and the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exhibit a high level of openness relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459812
We assess the business cycle synchronization features of aggregate output in the 27 EU countries using annual data for the period 1970-2009. In particular, we compute measures of synchronisation for private consumption, government spending, gross fixed capital formation, exports and imports. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135661
The former EU president Jean-Claude Junker has proposed that all countries of the European Union should also adopt the euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the classical Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criterion of positively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499619
The former EU president Jean-Claude Junker has proposed that all countries of the European Union should also adopt the euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the classical Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criterion of positively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012506932
There has been much discussion of the differences in macroeconomic performance and prospects between the US, Japan and …, Japan and the euro area appear quite distinct. Documenting and comparing such international business-cycle features can aid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319567
model the interdependencies between the business cycles in China and industrial countries, including the US, the euro area … and Japan. For robustness, the results are compared to those obtained by leading structural econometric models, such as … reveals that China is still highly vulnerable to shocks in industrial countries, including the government debt crisis in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374308
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009785443