This paper applies both conventional panel data models and a dynamic simultaneous equations model to analyze the impact of fiscal austerity and growth prospects along with other macro fundamentals on the pricing of sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) for a panel of 36 countries including the...

This paper investigates how a rise in US long-term interest rates would have an effect on other international markets. We document that a significant portion of long-term interest rates is due to term premium, which can be interpreted as compensation for inflation risk. Based on an assumed...

We study the nature of systemic sovereign credit risk using CDS spreads for the U.S. Treasury, individual U.S. states, and major European countries. Using a multifactor affine framework that allows for both systemic and sovereign-specific credit shocks, we find that there is considerable...

This paper evaluates the financial spillovers between the US and emerging market economies (EMEs) using the methodology advocated by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009). Based on (i) cross-asset returns of sovereign bond, equity, and foreign exchange, and (ii) 27 individual long-term sovereign bond...

For most European Union countries the government expenditure exceeds government revenue which could lead in the long run to an increase in the government debt to GDP ratio. Considering the distortions generated by the financial and economic crisis, followed by the debt crisis, both local and...

In this paper we study the intra-euro area imbalances based on a ynamic general equilibrium model. We show that European financial integration and the introduction of the euro might have contributed to the development of imbalances. Interest rate convergence following EMU accession led to net...

We study the determinants of sovereign CDS spreads of five Euro Area countries (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain) after the collapse of Lehman Brothers. We find that global and/or European Monetary Union (EMU)-wide factors are the main drivers of changes in the sovereign CDS spreads...

We research the association of the sovereign crisis stemming from periphery EMU countries and monetary policy in terms of financial stability. Empirical results are derived on the linkage of monetary policy reflected through interbank lending rates i.e. banking sector fragility to long term...

​We study the effects of the ECB monetary policy and the European crisis resolution policies on the 10 year sovereign bond yields of seven European countries. We find that some of the decisions have had significant impact on sovereign bond yields and have succeeded in reducing stress in the...

On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...