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In both the subprime crisis and the euro-area crisis, regulators imposed bans on short sales, aimed mainly at preventing stock price turbulence from destabilizing financial institutions. Contrary to the regulators' intentions, financial institutions whose stocks were banned experienced greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978462
In this paper, we attempt to examine the speculative efficiency hypothesis on CO2 emission allowance prices negotiated on Bluenext, by testing the relationship between futures and spot prices from the Fama (1970) framework. This approach is based on the joint hypothesis of no risk premium and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068082
We report new evidence that speculation in energy and precious metal futures are more prevalent in crisis periods and … is strongly and often non-linearly associated with speculation across instruments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240256
A growing body of literature suggests that over widely varying historical eras and across a wide range of asset classes momentum investing, often accompanied by a trend following overlay, provides superior risk-adjusted returns. We examine the effectiveness of applying these methodologies to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071662
During the recent financial crisis, numerous EU officials, market participants and the media suggested that irrational herding was a key factor for the financial turmoil and the soaring yield spreads. In this paper we test for evidence of herd behavior in European government bond prices and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000925
Pairs trading strategy's return depends on the divergence/convergence movements of a selected pair of stocks' prices. However, if the stable long term relationship of the stocks changes, price will not converge and the trade opened after divergence will close with losses. We propose a new model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987096
This paper studies the profitability of a selection of prominent momentum-based strategies in the European Monetary Union. In contrast to past examples documenting the lack of profitability of unconditional price momentum in the most recent decade, the current research finds that unconditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028257
There is a need to find better models and indicators for large disruptive events, not least in order to be more prepared and mitigate their effects. In this paper we take a step in this direction and discuss the performance of a financial stress indicator with a specific focus on the euro area....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983636
There is a need to find better models and indicators for large disruptive events, not least in order to be more prepared and mitigate their effects. In this paper we take a step in this direction and discuss the performance of a financial stress indicator with a specific focus on the euro area....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142439
The shift of perspective from a national basis to a Euro area basis, inevitably induced by EMU, has led member countries to a parallel shift from equity home bias to equity Euro bias. We interpret this evidence by means of a standard mean-variance portfolio selection model modified in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159821