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A Model of the Euro-Area Yield Curve with Discrete Policy Rates
Renne, Jean-Paul - 2013
This paper presents a no-arbitrage model of the yield curve that explicitly incorporates the central-bank policy rate. After having estimated the model using daily euro-area data, I explore the behavior of risk premia at the short end of the yield curve. These risk premia are neglected by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090277
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A Model of the Euro-Area Yield Curve with Discrete Policy Rates
Renne, Jean-Paul - 2013
In this paper, I investigate the effects of the ECB's monetary policy on the yield curve, and make contributions at three levels. First, I propose a novel and tractable model of the yield curve that belongs to the class of affine term-structure models. Importantly, this model is consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090831
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Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules
Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2019
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063951
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Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules
Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2019
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034314
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Mind the output gap : the disconnect of growth and inflation during recessions and convex Phillips curves in the euro area
Groß, Marco; Semmler, Willi - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem (1997)). The theoretical model motivates our empirical assessment for the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
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Inflation Persistence in the European Union, the Euro Area, and the United States
Gadzinski, Gregory - 2011
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
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Inflation Persistence in the European Union, the Euro Area, and the United States
Gadzinski, Grégory; Orlandi, Fabrice - 2021
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318918
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Sources of Inflation Persistence in the Euro Area
Cournède, Boris - 2005
In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444759
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The information content of survey data on expected price developments for monetary policy
Gerberding, Christina - 2001
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001782903
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The information content of survey data on expected price developments for monetary policy
Gerberding, Christina - 2001
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419361