While the enlargement of the Euro area to new countries has reduced the average return correlation among member countries, the financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis have led to an increase in stock return correlation among old members. We find that EMU core countries portfolio...

The study provides insight into the pricing of publicly traded European real estate equities. The Fama-French three-factor model, as well as unconditional and conditional Fama-MacBeth regressions are applied to a sample of 275 real estate equities from 16 European countries over the period 1988...

The general topic of the paper is the use of the crowd to interpret text, and the power of that interpretation to predict future events. This topic is addressed through an experiment, in which news sentiment is evaluated by crowds and experts in different configurations. Their classifications...

We use event study methods to compare the market reaction to U.S. and EU-wide stress tests performed from 2009 to 2013. Typically, stress tests have a positive impact on stressed banks' returns. While the 2009 U.S. stress test had a large positive outcome, the impact of subsequent U.S. exercises...

In this paper, calendar seasonality patterns are examined from day-of-the-week effect across weekly patterns, monthly analysis and whole-year seasonal strategies such as Sell in May and Halloween effect. The analysis is done across six indices, DAX, MDAX, SDAX, Eurostoxx 50, Stoxx Europe Mid 200...

We focus on the stock price reaction to convertible bond offering made by financial institutions and find that the cumulative abnormal return over the three day interval around convertible bond issuance is 1.41 percentage higher than that for non-financial institutions. This result supports our...

This paper evaluates the performance of machine learning methods in forecasting stock returns. Compared to a linear benchmark model, interactions and non-linear effects help improve predictive performance. But machine learning models must be adequately trained and tuned to overcome the high...

This paper examines the impulse response function of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock market returns in the Eurozone. Using a vector autoregression analysis, this study explores how the Eurozone's stock market responds to the impulse of economic policy uncertainty; a response feedback...

In this paper we adapt the demand and supply framework introduced by Figuerola-Ferretti and Gonzalo (Journal of Econometrics 2010) to illustrate the dynamics of pairs trading. We underline the process by which a finite elasticity of demand for spread trading determines the speed of mean...