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This paper shows correlations in GDP fluctuations rise with financial integration. Finance serves to increase international correlations in both consumption and GDP fluctuations, which explains the persistent gap between the two in the data, a quantity puzzle. The positive association between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062990
Fluctuations in GDP are more synchronized internationally than fluctuations in Consumption, and they remain so even between financially integrated economies, where the ranking should in theory be the reverse. This paper shows this happens because correlations in GDP fluctuations rise with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073270
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We analyse whether financial integration between countries leads to converging or diverging business cycles using a dynamic spatial model. Our model allows for contemporaneous spillovers of shocks to GDP growth between countries that are financially integrated and delivers a scalar measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156982
decline in real exchange rate volatility, 2) significant changes in cross-country correlations, and 3) the volatility of … domestic shocks less important in accounting for the (unchanged) volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals. -- European business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850663
The first Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM) Summit in 1996 has provided the principal multilateral platform for interregional cooperation between the European and Asian countries. This book examines the equity market integration among 49 ASEM members both in EU and Asia, and to investigate whether such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049408
We propose and implement an index of macroeconomic vulnerability to foreign shocks based on a structural time-varying bayesianVARwith a block-exogeneity hypothesis for a given pair of a large economy and a small open economy. The index is based on the sum of the responses of the small open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814956
We construct a new indicator of de facto financial integration in the EU. The resulting indicator is pro-cyclical as it evolves along the cyclical pattern of economic activity in the European Union. It is then appended to a set of relevant financial and macroeconomic variables, within a FAVAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013453687
A considerable degree of business cycle synchronization is key to a successful operating currency union. The European Monetary Union as well as many other countries strives to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) because of its reputation as being highly beneficial for the host economy. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010432451
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