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US federal transfers to individuals are large, countercyclical, vary geographically, and are often credited for helping stabilize regional economies. This paper estimates the short-run effects of these transfers using plausibly exogenous regional variation in temporary stimulus packages and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241154
Using the measures proposed by Mink et al. (2012), we reexamine the coherence of business cycles in the euro area using a long sample period. We also analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business cycle coherence and examine whether our measures for business cycle coherence indicate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168003
We identify a novel dimension of monetary policy from high-frequency changes in asset prices around ECB policy events, orthogonal to surprises extracted from risk-free interest rates. We find that it is present in policy events that were interpreted by real-time market commentaries as containing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818740
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The persistence of the employment shock by COVID-19 has various policy implications during the pandemic and beyond it … results show that while face-to-face services were undoubtedly hit hard by the COVID-19 crisis, the sectoral shock was less … suggest that targeted measures to mitigate the persistent effects of the employment shock should take priority during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591513
We assess the macroeconomic impact of pandemic-related monetary policy measures of the ECB. Conditioning on counterfactual interest rate paths that would have materialised in the absence of the policies, the macroeconomic effects are measured using structural vector autoregressions. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622376
find that a large share of publicly-listed firms become vulnerable as a result of the pandemic shock and additional … the impact of the shock in the near term. Looking forward, while interest coverage ratios tend to improve over time after … the initial shock as earnings recover in line with projected macroeconomic conditions, liquidity needs remain substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605125