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We study information transmission between informed experts and an uninformed decision-maker who only takes binary decisions. In the single expert case, we show that information transmission can only be relatively poor. Hence, even sophiscated communication games do not yield equilibria which (ex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146150
of the monetary union, have on the rest of the world, by disentangling euro area stress shocks and global risk aversion … the euro area but also for the rest of the world. Notably, an increase in euro area stress entails a slowdown of economic … activity in the rest of the world, as well as a fall in imports/exports of both the euro area and the rest of the world. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250128
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001535041
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013531575
To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of trade. Trade levels increase over time, and we show that this is not fully explained by the included regressors. Because the euro is only present at the end of the sample, this may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334328
A major economic reason for the introduction of the euro was its supposedly positive effect on intra-EMU trade. Existing studies examine this suspicion indirectly using non-EMU data and report ambiguous results. We estimate the euro-effect directly from data that include EMU observations. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327839
of the monetary union, have on the rest of the world. Disentangling euro area stress shocks and global risk aversion … area but also for the rest of the world. Notably, an increase in euro area stress entails a slowdown of economic activity … in the rest of the world, as well as a fall in imports/exports of both the euro area and the rest of the world. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824791
Existing studies on the impact of the euro on goods trade report increments between 5% and 40%. These estimates are based on standard panel gravity models for the level of trade. We show that the residuals from these models exhibit upwards trends over time for the euro countries, and that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069171
To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of trade. Trade levels increase over time, and we show that this is not fully explained by the included regressors. Because the euro is only present at the end of the sample, this may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074855
We analyze fiscal rules within a Monetary Union in the presence of (i) asymmetric information about member states' potential output and, therefore, output gap and (ii) bail-out among member states. In our framework, bail-out lowers the scope for signalling (discrimination) by member states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019233