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Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910359
cointegrated processes. Results on quarterly data relative to the period 1981 - 2006 show that: (i) the euro area inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132130
?2006 show that: (i) the euro area inflation rate and the wage share are cointegrated; (ii) the cointegrated version of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132296
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964904
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the inflation–unemployment dynamics during the recession and COVID-19 times in India and the UK. Using a generalized … recession and eventually turn to stagflation in India due to inflation caused by the weak supply side. However, in the UK, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547953
revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general …-to-specific testing strategy reveals a recursive structure where only the unemployment rate and long-term interest rates are directly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
Inflation differentials in the Euro area are mainly due to a sustained divergence of wage developments across the Euro … inflation using unit labour cost (ULC) growth and applying PANIC (Bai and Ng, 2004) and cluster procedures (Hobijn and Franses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426362
of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) is that they fail to capture the extent of inflation inertia in the data. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409738