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Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433361
current inflation rates and adaptive expectations concerning the inflation climate in which the economy operates. The model … Taylor-rule-type interest rate law of motion. Through instrumental variables GMM system estimation with aggregate time series … correction terms, and indirectly of income distribution, in the dynamics of wage and price inflation in the U.S. and the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744531
Inflation expectation is acknowledged to be an important indicator for policy makers and financial investors. To … capture a more accurate real-time estimate of inflation expectation on the basis of financial markets, we propose an arbitrage …-free model across different countries in a multi-maturity term structure, where we first estimate inflation expectation by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389060
restrictions which are not rejected by the data - the cost channel helps to generate an initial rise of inflation after a monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753889
cost channel theory. Taken together, the results of both panel data and time series analyses imply that the ECB’s low … interest rate policy has worked better for boosting inflation in Italy and Spain than in Germany. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011630975
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013270502
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
changes in inflation on fiscal policy. We find evidence of non-linear short-term effects of HICP inflation on the primary … an inflation turning point - beyond which its short-term (contemporaneous) impact on the primary balance starts being … the whole sample of euro area countries in 2022 (EA-19). Using an alternative measure of "inflation surprise" (available …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483665
We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we … various measures of inflation such as headline inflation, core inflation, energy inflation, and food inflation affect the … estimate of fiscal sustainability found previously. Our findings indicate that higher inflation rates contribute positively to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444867