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Inflation forecasting in the new EU Member States
Arratibel, Olga; Kamps, Christophe; Leiner-Killinger, Nadine - 2009
for future inflation for the cross section of New EU Member States. This paper provides stylized facts on monetary versus … non-monetary (economic and fiscal) determinants of inflation in these countries as well as formal econometric evidence on … predicting inflation at longer (3-year) horizons. -- Inflation forecasting ; leading indicators ; monetary policy ; information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831802
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Inflation forecasting in the New EU Member States
Arratibel, Olga; Kamps, Christophe; Leiner-Killinger, Nadine - In: What drives inflation in the new EU Member States? : …, (pp. 125-150). 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003912607
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Money-Output Causality Revisited : An Empirical Analysis of EU Countries
Hayo, Bernd - 2001
In this paper, the evidence collected in the large literature on testing for Granger-causality from money to output is re-visited. Using a broad data base of 14 EU-countries plus Canada, the U.S. and Japan, and quarterly data from the mid-60s to the mid-90s, a number of hypotheses from this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014216265
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Money-Output Causality Revisited : An Empirical Analysis of EU Countries
Hayo, Bernd - 1998
In this paper, the evidence collected in the large literature on testing for Granger-causality from money to output is re-visited. Using a broad data base of 14 EU-countries plus Canada, the US and Japan, and quarterly data from the mid 60s to the mid 90s, a number of hypotheses from this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014216717
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Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area
Favero, Carlo A.; Marcellino, Massimiliano Giuseppe - 2014
In this paper we assess the possibility of producing unbiased forecasts for fiscal variables in the euro area by comparing a set of procedures that rely on different information sets and econometric techniques. In particular, we consider ARMA models, VARs, small scale semi-structural models at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062153
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When money matters : some policy lessons from the business cycle in Spain, 1998 - 2013
Cendejas Bueno, José Luis; Mun̋oz, Félix-Fernando; … - In: World economics : a journal of current economic … 15 (2014) 2, pp. 77-110
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493278
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The extreme risk problem for monetary policies of the Euro-candidates
Gabrisch, Hubert; Orłowski, Lucjan T. - 2010
We argue that monetary policies in euro-candidate countries should also aim at mitigating excessive instability of the key target and instrument variables of monetary policy during turbulent market periods. Our empirical tests show a significant degree of leptokurtosis, thus prevalence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969864
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Fiscal Foundation of Convergence to European Union in Pre-Accession Transition Countries
Halpern, Laszlo - 2016
Pre-Accession Transition Countries (PATCs) aim at early admittance to the monetary club. Their fiscal indicators – deficit and debt - do not show any serious symptoms. Closer scrutiny reveals, however, that the interest burden of their public debt might be underestimated, and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991285
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It is not about Croatia and Bulgaria : it is about the fundamentals of membership of the euro area
Bobeva, Daniela - In: SEER : journal for labour and social affairs in Eastern … 25 (2022) 2, pp. 195-202
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251012
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Introduction of the single currency and inflation : the case of Central and Eastern European countries
Heller, Janusz; Warżała, Rafał; Kotliński, Kamil - In: Olsztyn economic journal 14 (2019) 2, pp. 133-144
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012221520