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. The second part deals with the econometric estimation of speculative dynamics. I find empirical evidence for similar …
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This paper investigates the relationship between the euro-dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals. First, we develop a simple theoretical model in which chartists and fundamentalists interact. This model predicts the existence of different regimes, and thus nonlinearities in the...
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(the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach …
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