*Weitere Angaben Inhalt: Die Europäische Union erweitert sich nach Osten. Was in Politik und führenden Medien ohne Ausnahme mit positiv klingenden Attributen versehen wird, hat indes mehr als nur Schattenseiten: Die Eingliederung ehemals kommunistisch regierter Staaten in das Brüsseler...

This paper introduces macroeconomic forecasters as political agents and suggests that they use their forecasts to in uence voting outcomes. We develop a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the future states of the economy and have to rely on...

The possible exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union will have profound economic and political effects. Here we look at a particular aspect, the power distribution in the Council of the European Union. Since the Lisbon treaty the exit does not require new negotiations as the success...