Showing 1 - 10 of 2,459
This paper examines structural changes in the exchange rate mechanism of China. For this purpose, we propose a predictive regression model that incorporates three factors of influence on the central parity rate: a smoothing factor, a market factor, and a basket factor. We first apply the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824623
This paper describes in detail the methodology currently used by the European Central Bank (ECB) to determine the nominal and real effective exchange rate indices of the euro. Building on the work of Buldorini et al. (2002), it shows how the ECB's techniques for calculating effective exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113993
The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the € /US-$ rate. The results … indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by professional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational … expectations hypothesis. This dismal result is according to our analysis attributed to the fact that professional forecasts are to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498977
Although the EU has achieved an impressive degree of harmonization in the securities laws of its member states, it has not yet advanced any effective collective private remedies for violations of those securities laws. This is especially noteworthy since the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974601
This paper provides an empirical analysis of the decomposition of Denmark Krone real exchange rates into the relative price of traded goods and the relative price ratio of non-traded and traded goods in a selective European time-series context to test the prediction that deviations from the law...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226130
Abstract In this paper we ask whether countries can influence their exposure to changes in global financial conditions. Specifically, we show that even though we can model cross-country capital flows via a global factor that closely tracks changes in global financial conditions, there is a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243053
This paper proposes an equilibrium relationship between expected exchange rate changes and differentials in expected returns on risky assets. We show that when expected returns on a risky asset in a certain economy are higher than the returns that are expected from investing in a risky asset in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316864
The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the €/US-$ rate. The results … indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by profes-sional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational … expectations hy-pothesis. This dismal result is according to our analysis attributed to the fact that professional forecasts are to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305755
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697865
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014318325