Showing 1 - 10 of 1,469
We apply the Campbell-Shiller return decomposition to exchange rate returns and fundamentals in a stationary panel vector autoregression framework. The return decomposition is then used to analyse how different investor segments react to news as captured by the different return components. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604752
In the course of eurozone exit, the underlying stocks of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) would be redenominated from euros into the new national currency. We exploit ADR investors' exposure to currency redenomination losses to derive a novel measure of eurozone exit risk. We find that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664386
We introduce a novel indicator of eurozone exit risk based on American Depositary Receipts(ADRs). We exploit ADR investors' exposure to potential losses associated with a eurozoneexit, e.g. due to redenomination of underlying stocks into the new devaluated currency, capitalcontrols or trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901795
We analyze how global and local factors affect portfolio allocation by euro area investors in emerging markets at the bond-level. First, cross-sectional analysis reveals a strong preference for home (Euro) currency bonds. Second, panel regressions, whether at the bond or aggregate flows level,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839247
We apply the Campbell-Shiller return decomposition to exchange rate returns and fundamentals in a stationary panel vector autoregression framework. The return decomposition is then used to analyse how different investor segments react to news as captured by the different return components. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317302
In this paper, the authors develop a new tool to improve the short-term forecasting of real GDP growth in the euro area and Japan. This new tool, which uses unrestricted mixed-data sampling (U-MIDAS) regressions, allows an evaluation of the usefulness of a wide range of indicators in predicting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403330
We use internationally comparable household-level data for ten euro area economies and the United States to investigate cross-country differences in debt holdings and the potential of debt overhang. U.S. households have the highest prevalence of both collateralized and non-collateralized debt,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010526694
European monetary integration was one element in the process of financial market integration but by far not the only one. The paper traces the development of financial markets and systems in Europe from the beginnings of the euromarkets in the 1950s over early exchange rate arrangements and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295472
The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in spillovers) and flight-to-quality patterns, exploiting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508561
This paper presents a detailed set of new, quantity-based indicators of financial integration in the euro area. The indicators are based on granular data from securities holdings statistics and help us disentangle the main drivers of the portfolio changes observed since the financial crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857118