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The equity variance risk premium is the expected compensation earned for selling variance risk in equity markets. The variance risk premium is positive and shows moderate persistence. High variance risk premiums coincide with the left tail of the consumption growth distribution shifting down....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839638
I extend the evidence on the basic stylized facts documented for the U.S. variance risk premium (VP) and show that, while VPs in other countries are also positive and time varying, they do not have predictive power for domestic stock returns, in contrast to the implications of existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032025
We study the nature of systemic sovereign credit risk using CDS spreads for the U.S. Treasury, individual U.S. states, and major European countries. Using a multifactor affine framework that allows for both systemic and sovereign-specific credit shocks, we find that there is considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126657
This paper investigates the variance risk premium in an international setting. First, I provide new evidence on the basic stylized facts traditionally documented for the US. I show that while the variance premiums in several countries are, on average, positive and display significant time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128804
This paper investigates the variance risk premium in an international setting. First, I provide new evidence on the basic stylized facts traditionally documented for the US. I show that while the variance premiums in several other countries are, on average, positive and display significant time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110367
This paper applies different copulas in order to investigate the complex dependence structure between EU emission allowance (EUA) futures returns and those of other commodities, equity and energy indices. The analysis yields important insights into the relationship between carbon, commodities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011778
We examine convenience yields and risk premiums in the EU-wide CO<sub>2</sub> emissions trading scheme (EU-ETS) during the first Kyoto commitment period (2008-2012). We find that the market has changed from initial backwardation to contango with significantly negative convenience yields in futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976976
We propose an approach to estimate and explain the risk premium in carbon and energy futures markets. First, we develop a parsimonious and robust state space model that allows for a time-varying risk premium and apply it to CO2, oil, and gas futures prices. We find that the risk premia are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996370
This paper tests for the presence of long memory and nonlinearity in returns and volatility for six agricultural futures daily prices series, three traded on MATIF Euronext (Wheat, Corn & Rapeseed) and three traded on CBOT (Red Winter Wheat, Corn & Soybean) over the period from 2000 to 2010. If...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940227
We examine the response of ICE Brent Crude futures to the spot Dated Brent benchmark published by Platts. Trading activity in the futures market intensifies during the benchmark assessment. We also find trading in the direction of the published benchmark during the price assessment window....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936590