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In this paper we apply the Early Warning System methodology to ten Central and Eastern European Countries to find useful sets of indicators which could predict macroeconomic and financial imbalances. We argue that finding such indicators is crucial in the current monetary policy framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403026
ratios, between, i) the debt and primary surplus, and ii) government expenditure and revenues. Both models show consistent … high-income countries. This also indicates that the fiscal policy can be sustainable (non-sustainable) even for the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492728
Debt Overhang is a controversial issue in the eurozone countries and is considered as one of the factors which created … the current economic crisis. How to deal with sovereign debt has been debated both at the theoretical and policy making … level. This paper looks at the Greek debt and four options are discussed: (a) unilateral default (b) unilaterally imposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492731
show that growth is higher if the debt to GDP ratio is below 60 % compared to values above it. Moreover, a comparison with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557773
This paper aims to provide guidance to issuers of sovereign ESG bonds, with a focus on Emerging Market and Developing Economies (EMDEs). An overview of the ESG financing options available to sovereign issuers is followed by an analysis of the operational requirements and costs that the issuance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350469
In most euro area countries, the monetary/fiscal policy mix is responsible for the changing history of debt and … simulations reveal that the PM/AF regime in France led to price volatility and debt stabilisation, while the AM/PF regime resulted … in disinflation and rising debt trajectory. Meanwhile, Italy's procyclical fiscal policy in downturns contributed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482924
The output gap is a key variable of business cycle analysis and policy. Obtaining reliable estimates for it, is very difficult, though. Most real-time estimates are frequently revised over time. The idea of this paper is to use various indicators, for example from business surveys, that (i) were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928277
We use a New Keynesian DSGE model with search frictions on the housing market to evaluate how financing a labor tax reduction by higher property taxation affects the real economy and welfare. Search on the housing market enables us to explicitly model stocks and flows, which is necessary to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898122
Building on the automatic fiscal stabilisers literature, this paper assesses how automatic stabilisers have evolved over the past two decades by analysing changes in the personal income tax and social benefit systems. In three-quarters of the 35 OECD countries analysed, indicators of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421097
The output gap is a key variable of business cycle analysis and policy. Obtaining reliable estimates for it, is very difficult, though. Most real-time estimates are frequently revised over time. The idea of this paper is to use various indicators, for example from business surveys, that (i) were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309596