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We analyse how the future real economic activity is discounted to the current value of stocks in the US and European markets, and find that the extraordinary threat on future real GDP growth caused by the COVID-19 pandemic was obviously one of the main factors that affected the deep dive in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836097
Recently introduced measure for Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) seems to have a role to play in forecasting out-of-sample values for the future real economic activity both for the euro area and the UK economies in the monthly data from 1997-2016. Inclusion of EPU measures either for the US, UK...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962828
During the pre-EMU period changes in real effective exchange rate or faster-than-trading-partners growth rates Granger caused changes in trade balance in most of the EMU-12 countries. However, our data driven article provides evidence that after the adoption of euro, these Granger causalities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023076
We analyse the effects of sovereign risk premium on bank profitability amongst 154 Eurozone banks during the period 2005 – 2019. In contrast to some of the results in the previous literature, we find that the euro area banks have not suffered too much from the extremely low and negative...
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Several studies have analyzed the long-run determinants of current account balances using panel cointegration techniques. In this paper we will study both the long-run determinants and the short-run dynamics of the trade balances in the EU-15 countries. We will analyze each country separately...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983318
In the new hybrid methodology the calculation of EURIBOR benchmark reference rates should be grounded in fully comprehensive euro money market transactions. We analyze the role of financial corporate paper (CP) market in the development of EURIBOR interest rates by applying a DCC-GARCH framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312063