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to understand the linkage between the cheapest to deliver bond and closest futures pairs by using high-frequency data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194146
In this report we document the ETLAnow project. ETLAnow is a model for forecasting with big data. At the moment, it predicts the unemployment rate in the EU-28 countries using Google search data. This document is subject to updates as the ETLAnow project advances.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037674
We propose a new measure of the expected variance risk premium that is based on a forecast of the conditional variance … that drives the variance risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027179
This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the methodology proposed by Jurado et al. (2015) and estimate global as well as country-specific measures of economic uncertainty for fifteen key euro area trade partners and the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503567
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225036
After hitting the lower bound on interest rates, the Eurosystem engaged in a public sector purchase programme (PSPP) and forward guidance (FG). We use prior and posterior predictive analysis to evaluate the importance of parameter uncertainty in an analysis of these policies. We model FG as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846905
with Issuer Risk.We provide analytic pricing for Triggered Refreshed CDOs with or without Issuer Risk, i.e. covered bonds ….g. cities, Lander, public sector entities), and its covered bond prices. We provide example results for a variety of scenarios … showing the interplay between covenants, issuer risk, and liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071166
bonds with higher collateral haircuts. The importance of collateral haircuts on bond yields remains robust after controlling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851746
The green bond market has grown strongly in recent years, especially in the euro area. With regard to the European … rapidly evolving green bond market. In addition, the effect of ECB bond purchases on yields under the corporate sector … purchase program (CSPP) and the pandemic emergency purchase program (PEPP) is examined. The analysis shows that ECB bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012586095
the recent developments and challenges in the bond and debt markets. First, we study the pricing of green bonds at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831732