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We analyse how the future real economic activity is discounted to the current value of stocks in the US and European markets, and find that the extraordinary threat on future real GDP growth caused by the COVID-19 pandemic was obviously one of the main factors that affected the deep dive in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836097
This research analyzes and extend the study of contagion for BRICS Emerging Stock Markets in the context of the last two international financial crises: the Lehman Brothers Bankruptcy Crisis and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. We investigate changes in the relationship and the co-movements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931029
I consider extreme returns for the stock and bond markets of 14 EU countries using two classification schemes: One, the univariate classification scheme from the previous literature that classifies extreme returns for each market separately. Two, a novel multivariate classification scheme that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062344
This paper examines the time-varying conditional correlations of daily European equity market returns during the Irish sovereign debt crisis. A dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model is used to estimate to what extent the collapse of Irish equity markets and subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471074
One empirical argument that has been around for some time and that clearly contra- dicts equity market efficiency is that market prices seem too volatile to be optimal estimates of the present value of future discounted cash flows. Based on this, it is deduced that systematic pricing errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003482498
Motivated by the current financial and economic situation in Europe, this paper seeks to establish how the changes in economic policy uncertainty in Europe affect the stock market performance in the United States. Analyzing monthly index of economic policy uncertainty in Europe and monthly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104516
This paper investigates the effect of economic policy uncertainty in the United States on stock market performance in the European Union, Croatia, Norway, Russia, Switzerland, Turkey and Ukraine. The analyses of monthly returns on the major stock market indices in these countries from 1985:2 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104689
Robust weak form efficiency tests are conducted to examine market efficiency in two pan-European indices; the large capitalisation EuroStoxx 50 and the small capitalisation EuroStoxx Small from January 2000 to March 2012. Applying the non-parametric Belaire-Franch and Opong (2005) multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089775
This paper examines the impulse response function of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock market returns in the Eurozone. Using a vector autoregression analysis, this study explores how the Eurozone's stock market responds to the impulse of economic policy uncertainty; a response feedback...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090760
We take advantage of the historical onetime event of the European sovereign debt crisis and investigate the impact of European sovereign downgrades and negative watches on the European government bond and stock market including the partial default of Greece in March 2012. Results are based on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075599