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This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034314
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063951
unemployment rate has increased and economic activity has been sluggish. Changes in the implicit inflation target, viewed as low … frequency movements of inflation, might possibly explain these developments. To highlight this issue, the present study … estimates the dynamics of the implicit inflation target in the euro zone over the period 1970Q1 - 2004Q4. Based on a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014193922
monetary framework based on inflation targeting, containing input variables that are relative to the corresponding variables in … the common currency area. The policy rule is tested empirically for three inflation targeting countries converging to the … monetary policies among these euro-candidates. The Czech inflation targeting is forwardlooking relying on a sensible balance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206120
-looking, consistent with a monetary framework based on inflation-targeting containing input variables that are relative to the … corresponding variables in the common currency area. Robust forms of the policy rule are tested empirically for three inflation …. Both the Czech and the Polish central bank interest rate policies respond predominantly to changes in the inflation gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121972
Major currency areas are characterized by important differences in financial structure that are clear in microeconomic data. Surprisingly, this fact is seldom discussed in the analysis of the international transmission of shocks. This paper attempts to fill this gap. First, I show some stylized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320193
In this article, the issue of the monetary independence problem in view of the Romania's European Monetary Union accession is investigated empirically. It is frequently argued that for such a country, the main cost of participation in a currency area is the loss of monetary policy independence....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890553
This paper reconsiders the narratives surrounding Japan's economic performance since the 1980s in relation to the experiences of the U.S. and the Eurozone. There are important differences between these three economies and some striking parallels. It is found that the poor reputation of the Bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816140
The ECB's one size monetary policy is unlikely to fit all euro area members, which raises a discussion about how much monetary policy stress this causes at the national level. We measure monetary policy stress as the difference between actual ECB interest rates and Taylor-rule implied optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010483271
We assess whether euro area inflation expectations, as measured by break-even inflation rates (BEIRs), have remained … illiquidity or demand-supply imbalances, but not reflecting genuine inflation expectations and inflation risk premia. We estimate … a bivariate VAR with short-term and long-term BEIRs, allowing for measurement noise in both. Anchoring of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341627