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Purpose - This article examines volatility spillovers, cross-market correlation, and comovements between selected developed and former communist emerging stock markets in the European Union. Modelling the behavioural dynamics of European stock markets represents a vital topic in a fascinating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695346
This paper investigates dynamic currency hedging benefits, with a further focus on the impact of currency hedging before and during the recent financial crises originated from the subprime and the Euro sovereign bonds. We take the point of view of a Euro-based institutional investor who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074792
This paper investigates flight-to-safety from stocks to bonds in six European markets. We use quantile regressions to identify flight-to-safety episodes. The conditional risk-return trade-off on the stock markets is negative. Flight-to-safety episodes strengthen the negative trade-off. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900712
Optimal diversification gain is frequently more than offset by estimation error, leading to a well documented gap between the in-sample and out-of-sample performance of investment strategies. Our findings suggest that popular attempts to address the estimation error can be counterproductive in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049884
I investigate the time variation in the integration of EU government bond markets. The integration is measured by the explanatory power of European factor portfolios for the individual bond markets for each year. The integration of the government bond markets is stronger for EMU than non-EMU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065853
This paper examines the time-varying conditional correlations of daily European equity market returns during the Irish sovereign debt crisis. A dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model is used to estimate to what extent the collapse of Irish equity markets and subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052375
In order to examine non-linear predictability of the US and Japanese dividend-yield ratio, smooth transition regression model analysis is applied to an extended time period of data. The theoretical basis for investigating non-linear behaviour in stock returns can be based on the interaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993353
We build a non-stationary Hawkes model of sovereign credit risk for seven European countries, and estimate it on CDS data from the run-up to the Greek default. We model a country's credit risk as partly driven by a weighted combination of risks across countries. We find Spain and Portugal are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063227
The paper decomposes differences in mean and a series of quantiles of portfolio returns between North America and Europe into Fama and French's five factors. We show that the differences in risk premia on factors, especially on market and size factors, account for most of the differences and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914458
This paper proposes a new mutual exciting regime-switching model where crises can spread contagiously across countries. Each country has its own hidden stochastic process that determines whether it is in a normal or crisis regime. The mutual-excitation component allows interactions in the Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491593