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), the problem of instability is simply transferred to inflation rate differentials, what we call the (impossibility of the …) "uncovered inflation rate parity condition" in a monetary union. The analysis of the actual divergences and imbalances in the EMU …, then, suggests that failure to respect the "uncovered inflation rate parity condition" in a monetary union may lead to …
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This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries in ation into country-specific (idiosyncratic) and region-wide (common) components. To do so, we propose a exible empirical framework based on dynamic factor models subject to drifting...
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This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals' survey-based inflation expectations …
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costs across product groups. We show that, after the referendum, inflation increased by more for product groups with higher …
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