Employment termination in East Germany in the first nine months after unification is analyzed within a discrete hazard rate model with three absorbing states, namely short-time work, unemployment and non-participation. Estimation is based on a cohort of employed individuals in June 1990 and the...

Long-term unemployment in Eastern Germany in the two-years period since Currency, Economic and Social Union is analyzed by means of a discrete hazard rate model of individual re-employment behaviour estimated on the first three waves of the German Socio-Economic Panel. Although most unemployment...