Hankins, William; Cheng, Chak Hung Jack; Stone, Anna-Leigh - 2021
Using U.S. data over the period 1961 - 2000 we estimate a structural factor-augmented vector autoregressive model and find that a one standard deviation shock to macroeconomic uncertainty generates declines in state-level total factor productivity (TFP) growth that range from -0.15 to -0.98...