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The global financial crises have had severe impact on various financial markets and the world economies at large. At various points in time during economic recessions, the confidence of the global investors is always sapped while most investors panic for safety. The past ten years especially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909952
This paper explores episodes of financial crises and recessions experienced by the economies in Southeast Asia: the global debt crisis and the commodity price collapse in the 1980s, the Asian financial crisis in the 1990s, and the burst of the dot-com bubble and the global financial crisis in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893520
The trade balances of the Euro Area (EA) and of the U.S. have improved markedly after the Global Financial Crisis. This paper quantifies the drivers of EA and U.S. economic fluctuations and external adjustment, using an estimated (1999-2017) three-region (U.S., EA, rest of world) DSGE model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851364
Fundamental sources of the Russian financial crisis in 1998 are discussed. Focus is made on the time horizon of judgements concerning sustainability of the economic policy. It is argued that the macroeconomic policy pursued by the monetary authorities was not robust in a medium run, but, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065728
The current economic crisis is a complex social phenomenon, several aspects of which go beyond national borders and also cross traditional academic disciplinary boundaries. While initial academic commentary in media has typically been grounded within finance or economics disciplinary boundaries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014046074
It is well known fact that all good things, as also bad things, come to an end and business cycles pass through good and bad economic times. Economically 2010 was a year of transition from economic recession to recovery. Economies were improving in some countries and industries were showing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110884
This paper analyzes the causes of the massive peso devaluation of December 1994 and the ensuing economic crisis in Mexico. The paper argues that, while earlier devaluation might have been helpful, Mexico?s economic growth strategy in the early 1990s was fraught with internal inconsistencies that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064146
The authors review the challenges that the Romanian economy and society had to face in the European and global geoeconomic context. Starting from the perspectives advanced by the international economic fora, the risks the European economy will have to answer through counteracting and general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464256
By preemptive austerity, we mean a policy that increases taxes to deter potential rollover crises. The policy is so successful that the usual danger signal of a rollover crisis, a high yield on new bonds sold, does not show up because the policy eliminates the danger. Mechanically, high taxes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436959
We present a model in which investors observe the same macroeconomic data but have varying levels of information about the parameters that determine the distribution of the expected returns on investment. During a crisis that increases macroeconomic uncertainty and reduces asset prices, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132094