Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2012
of the universe of over 200 recession episodes in 14 advanced countries between 1870 and 2008, we document two key facts … of the modern business cycle: financial-crisis recessions are more costly than normal recessions in terms of lost output …; and for both types of recession, more credit-intensive expansions tend to be followed by deeper recessions and slower …