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In response to the record-breaking COVID19 recession, many governments have adopted unprecedented fiscal stimuli. While countercyclical fiscal policy is effective in fighting conventional recessions, little is known about the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the current environment with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705410
closely related to the harshness of fiscal austerity. Cumulative multiplier estimates are found to vary in a range from 1.4 to … 2.1, depending on the data source used to identify the intensity of fiscal consolidation. Given these multiplier values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778844
The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment by estimating medium-term fiscal multipliers during protracted recessions (PR) in a sample of 17 OECD countries. Based on Jorda's (2005) local projection methodology, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031164
We estimate the effect of government spending shocks on the US economy with a time-varying parameter vector autoregression. The recent Great Recession period appears to be characterized by uniquely large impulse responses of output to fiscal shocks. Moreover, the particularity of this period is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912155
We take the neoclassical perspective and apply the business cycle accounting method as proposed by Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (2007, Econometrica) for the Great Recession and the associated stimulus program in Germany 2008-2009. We include wedges to the variables government consumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012253072
We take the neoclassical perspective and apply the business cycle accounting method as proposed by Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (2007, Econometrica) for the Great Recession and the associated stimulus program in Germany 2008-2009. We include wedges to the variables government consumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012236598
This paper estimates the impact of government spending shocks on economic activity during periods of high and low uncertainty and during periods of boom and recession. We find that government spending shocks have larger impacts on output in booms than in recessions and larger impacts during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949220
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401336
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362116
We estimate the impact of fiscal stimulus measures enacted in response to COVID-19 on U.S. GDP, investment and exports. We apply a dynamic computable general equilibrium model adept at estimating total direct and indirect effects and their time-path. Initial stimulus bills, including the CARES...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077357