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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
Recently introduced measure for Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) seems to have a role to play in forecasting out …-2016. Inclusion of EPU measures either for the US, UK or overall European economies improves the forecasting ability of models based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962828
of the historical forecasting track record, but distinguish between a "safe" regime and a "downturn-risk" regime. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823611
The U.S. Subprime Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession have highlighted a renewed interest in the proper design and implementation of Early Warning Systems (E.W.S.), in order to help deter the onset of subsequent extreme financial events, through the implementation of adequate crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347094
During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265233
or quarterly data supplied by central statistical agencies for macroeconomic modelling and forecasting. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641311
During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832101
performance indicates that it is worthwhile to include a broad group of forecasting models based on the different methodologies … other combination methods, the forecasting errors are lower, even in times of high uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013185263