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Real time representation of the UK output gap in the presence of model uncertainty

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Mise, Emi; Shields, … - In: International journal of forecasting 25 (2009) 1, pp. 81-102

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833271

Real time representations of the output gap

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Mise, Emi; Shields, … - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003393026

Nowcasting, business cycle dating and the interpretation of new information when real time data are available

Lee, Kevin C. (contributor); Olekalns, Nilss (contributor); … - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003712933

Nowcasting, business cycle dating and the interpretation of new information when real time data are available

Lee, Kevin C. (contributor); Olekalns, Nilss (contributor); … - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003753480

Nowcasting, business cycle dating and the interpretation of new information when real-time data are available

Lee, Kevin C.; Olekalns, Nilss; Shields, Kalvinder K. - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887474

Forecasting global recessions in a GVAR model of actual and expected output

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Shields, Kalvinder K. - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 2, pp. 374-390

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597120

Real-time probability forecasts of UK macroeconomic events

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Vahey, Shaun P. - In: National Institute economic review 203 (2008), pp. 78-90

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003625185

Forecast Uncertainties in Macroeconometric Modelling : An Application to the UK Economy

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Shin, … - 2021

This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321125

Macroeconomic forecasting for Pakistan in a data-rich environment

Syed, Ateeb Akhter Shah; Lee, Kevin Haeseung - In: Applied economics 53 (2021) 9, pp. 1077-1091

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425450