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The macroeconomics of epidemics : interstate heterogeneity in Brazil

Borelli, Luan; Góes, Geraldo Sandoval - In: Economia : revista da ANPEC 22 (2021) 3, pp. 164-197

adoption of these policies, and the severity of the economic recessions. One year after the original ex-ante calibration, we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162400

Continuities and discontinuities in economic forecasting

Sinclair, Tara M. - In: Futures past : economic forecasting in the 20th and …, (pp. 31-41). 2020

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Uncertainty and forecasts of U.S. recessions

Pierdzioch, Christian; Gupta, Rangan - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 24 (2020) 4, pp. 1-21

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Did established Early Warning Signals predict the 2008 crises?

Christofides, Charis; Eicher, Theo S.; Papageorgiou, Chris - In: European economic review : EER 81 (2016), pp. 103-114

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742043

ROC and PRC approaches to evaluate recession forecasts

Lahiri, Kajal; Cheng, Yang - 2023

analytically and using a real-life empirical example of yield spread as a predictor of recessions. We show that false alarm rate in … quantify the extent to which ROC could be exaggerating the true predictive value of the yield curve in predicting recessions. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284725