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This paper contributes a multivariate forecasting comparison between structural models and Machine-Learning-based tools. Specifically, a fully connected feed forward nonlinear autoregressive neural network (ANN) is contrasted to a well established dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE)...
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An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT … (PMI), to improve the short-term forecast of international trade. A horse race between linear regressions and machine …
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