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implications for forecast efficiency and the stock market. We find that the two sets of forecasts strongly covary over the 1984 to … aggregate earnings, the converse is not true. Additional tests suggest that analysts underreact to economists' negative forecast … revisions (i.e., aggregate earnings forecast errors are predictably more negative following economists' downward forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096055
I use controlled experiments to investigate the joint effects of forecast precision and forecast uncertainty on … investor judgments. I find that forecast precision moderates the effects of forecast uncertainty on investors’ forecast … reliability judgments such that the effects of forecast uncertainty on investors’ judgments of forecast reliability are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238623
examine whether a disaggregation of the forecast into various sources of demand reduces forecast error and bias. Using … proprietary data from a manufacturing organization, we find that absolute demand forecast error declines following the … implementation of a disaggregated forecast system. We also find a favorable effect of forecast disaggregation on finished goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856565
Prior research finds that investors have difficulty pricing corporate innovation. This paper investigates the role of long-term growth forecasting financial analysts in the efficiency of stock prices and consensus sell-side analyst forecasts, with respect to information about firms' innovative...
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significant government ownership issued relatively less pessimistic (or more optimistic) earnings forecasts, earnings-forecast …
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