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The paper develops an algorithm for making long-term (up to three months ahead) predictions of volatility reversals … minimal covers with decreasing scale is used to decompose volatility into two dynamic components: specific A(t) and structural … uptrends in volatility. To test statistical significance of its abilities we introduce several estimators of conditional and …
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This study investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the volatility of European Union (EU) carbon … futures prices and whether it has predictive power for the volatility of carbon futures prices. The GARCH-MIDAS model is … applied for evaluating the impact of different EPU indexes on the price volatility of European Union Allowance (EUA) futures …
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