economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA …

Texas, California, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Utah, Wyoming and Nevada had they not joined the USA. We show that the … growth paths of Puerto Rico, Cuba, the Philippines and Greenland in the scenario where they joined the USA at times in … institutional quality of the USA as a whole matches the quality predicted for New England most closely. This suggests that upon …

structure and a substantial reduction of output volatility. We find two robust structural breaks in volatility at the end of … volatility reduction is only linked to expansion features. We also date the US business cycle in the long run, finding that … volatility plays a primary role in the definition of the business cycle, which has important consequences for econometricians and …

need for macroeconomic forecasters to account for sudden and deep recessions, periods of higher macroeconomic volatility … Factor Model (MS-DFM) by incorporating two new features: switches in volatility and time-variation in trend GDP growth. First …, we show that volatility switches largely improve the detection of business cycle turning points in the low-volatility …