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This paper studies inference for the realized Laplace transform (RLT) of volatility in a fixed‐span setting using bootstrap methods. Specifically, since standard wild bootstrap procedures deliver inconsistent inference, we propose a local Gaussian (LG) bootstrap, establish its first‐order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362565
This agent-based financial market model is a generalization of the model of Westerhoff (The Use of Agent-Based Financial Market Models to Test the Effectiveness of Regulatory Policies) by traders who are allowed to have different investment horizons as introduced by Demary (Who Does a Currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003935223
This article aims to extend evaluation of the classic multifactor model of Carhart (1997) for the case of global equity indices and to expand analysis performed in Sakowski et. al. (2015). Our intention is to test several modifications of these models to take into account different dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896
Seit der globalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise und der sich daran anschließenden Staatsschuldenkrise stellt sich die Frage, ob die Krisenländer durch eine Verbesserung ihrer internationalen preislichen Wettbewerbsfähigkeit auf einen stabilen Wachstumspfad zurückkehren können, z.B. durch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428854
propose an extended time-varying VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505897
A large number of nonlinear conditional heteroskedastic models have been proposed in the literature. Model selection is crucial to any statistical data analysis. In this article, we investigate whether the most commonly used selection criteria lead to choice of the right specification in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297653
We use the expected lifetime range (ELR) ratio based on the extreme values of asset prices to detect the presence of mean reversion in stock returns. We find that the actual cross-sectional average of the ELR ratio is significantly less than its bootstrap means, thereby indicating a considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905649
-correction step to improve Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting ability of the n-EGARCH (normal EGARCH) model and correct the VaR for both … to accurate for the tendency of the model tomiscalculate the VaR. Empirical results indicate that the bias …-correction method can improve the n-GARCH and n-EGARCH VaR forecasts so much that the acquired VaR predictions are different from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632622