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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle

Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 4, pp. 760-769

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746905

Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy

Karnaukh, Nina - 2020

We find that 30-minute changes in bond yields around scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements are predictable with the pre-FOMC Blue Chip professionals’ revisions in GDP growth forecasts. A positive pre-FOMC GDP growth revision predicts a contractionary policy news shock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388387

Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy

Karnaukh, Nina; Vokata, Petra - In: Journal of financial economics 146 (2022) 1, pp. 55-70

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013482162

Time varying biases and the state of the economy

Xie, Zixiong; Hsu, Shih-hsun - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 3, pp. 716-725

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621788

A note on uncertainty due to infectious diseases and output growth of the United States : a mixed-frequency forecasting experiment

Salisu, Afees A.; Gupta, Rangan; Demirer, Rıza - In: Annals of financial economics 17 (2022) 2, pp. 1-9

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262971

Predictability of future economic growth and the credibility of monetary regimes in Germany, 1870 - 2003

Baltzer, Markus; Kling, Gerhard - In: Applied economics letters 14 (2007) 4/6, pp. 401-404

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003469400

Modelling and predicting the real GDP rate in Romania

Bratu, Mihaela - In: Journal of academic research in economics 6 (2014) 3, pp. 305-314

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348112

Real-time forecasting of inflation and output growth with autoregressive models in the presence of data revisions

Clements, Michael P.; Galvão, Ana Beatriz C. - In: Journal of applied econometrics 28 (2013) 3, pp. 458-477

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756496

Real-time forecasting of inflation and output growth in the presence of data revisions

Clements, Michael P.; Galvão, Ana Beatriz C. - 2010

the models on "lightly-revised" data instead of using data from the latest-available vintage. Forecast accuracy is … estimation are of a similar maturity to the data in the forecast loss function. The size of the expected reductions in mean …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008760294

Forecasting the growth of complexity and change

Modis, Theodore - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 69 (2002) 4, pp. 377-404

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001708911

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