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In an October 1995 FOMC meeting, several participants inquired about the potential value and meaning of the spread between the Treasury bill rate and nominal GDP for monetary policy. The idea comes from Salomon Brothers, who think that it is an indicator of policy, in the sense that a high...
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We document an inverse relation between stock-bond correlations and correlations of growth and inflation. We find that … rising inflation uncertainty lowers stock prices but can either lower or raise nominal bond prices depending on whether … important drivers of stock-bond correlations during the countercyclical period 1965-2000 while output shocks dominated during …
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