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Great moderation or "will o' the wisp"? : a time-frequency decomposition of GDP for the US and UK
Crowley, Patrick M.; Hughes Hallett, Andrew - In: Journal of macroeconomics 44 (2015), pp. 82-97
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570305
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Oil price changes and U.S. real GDP growth : is this time different?
Charfeddine, Lanouar; Klein, Tony; Walther, Thomas - 2018
This paper contributes to the large debate regarding the impact of oil price changes on U.S. GDP growth. Firstly, it replicates empirical findings of prominent studies and finds that the proposed oil price measures have a dissipating effect with recent data up to 2016Q4. Secondly, it re-examines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906502
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Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment : Exploring the Persistence of Aggregate Demand Shocks in the United States
Hartman, Harrison C. - 2024
nonfarm payroll employment in the USA, the book emphasizes the role of aggregate demand shocks in causing the US economy to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544841
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Evidence of a bimodal US GDP growth rate distribution : a wavelet approach
Lera, Sandro C.; Sornette, Didier - In: Quantitative finance and economics 1 (2017) 1, pp. 26-43
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137716
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Regional output growth and the impact of macroeconomic shocks in Mexico
Shepherd, David; Muñoz Torres, Rebeca I.; Mendoza … - In: International review of applied economics 28 (2014) 3, pp. 292-309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010355444
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Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter
Quast, Josefine; Wolters, Maik H. - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 40 (2022) 1, pp. 152-168
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804095
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The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth : evidence from standard and mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses
Hassani, Hossein; Yeganegi, Mohammad Reza; Gupta, Rangan - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661146
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Smooth threshold autoregressive models and Markov process : an application to the Lebanese GDP growth rate
Verne, Jean-François - In: International econometric review 13 (2021) 3, pp. 71-88
This paper analyzes the evolution of the Lebanese GDP growth rate over the period 1970- 2019 by estimating two kinds of switching models: The Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model and the model of the Markov process. These models show, on the one hand, asymmetries in the evolution of GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816175
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Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model : an application to the German business cycle
Carstensen, Kai; Heinrich, Markus; Reif, Magnus; … - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 3, pp. 829-850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496873
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Credit decomposition and economic activity in Turkey : a wavelet-based approach
Çepni, Oğuzhan; Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim; … - In: Central Bank review / Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 20 (2020) 3, pp. 109-131
This paper aims to investigate the co-movement between the credit growth and gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Turkey over the period January 2004–October 2019. By taking into account alternative credit decomposition and the variations over time and across frequencies using the wavelet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311952