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Productivity and US macroeconomic performance : interpreting the past and predicting the future with a two-sector real business cycle model

Ireland, Peter N. (contributor); Schuh, Scott (contributor) - 2006 - This version: April 2006

A two-sector real business cycle model, estimated with postwar U.S. data, identifies shocks to the levels and growth rates of total factor productivity in distinct consumption- and investmentgoods- producing technologies. This model attributes most of the productivity slowdown of the 1970s to...