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Greater data availability has been coupled with developments in statistical theory and economic theory to allow more elaborate and complicated models to be entertained. These include factor models, DSGE models, restricted vector autoregressions, and non-linear models.
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This paper examines the macroeconomic consequences of future demographic trends for economic growth, financial markets and public finances. It shows that in the absence of reforms and responses by economic agents, the currently projected demographic trends imply a decline in average real GDP...
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China's extraordinary economic progress has positioned it to be the next Global Power in Asia, and potentially the next Superpower capable of contesting the US in a bi-polar world. But China faces fundamental economic, demographic and financial weaknesses that could disable such ambitions. These...
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In view of the demographic changes in Hong Kong and the associated increase in demand for long-term assets for retirement planning, this report explores the opportunities and developments in Hong Kong’s long-term asset markets. It investigates the growth in demand for long-term assets due to...
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